On the Influence of Verification on Price
181. The money price of an article
at any given period is usually stated to depend upon
the proportion between the supply and the demand.
The average price of the same article during a long
period, is said to depend, ultimately, on the power
of producing and selling it with the ordinary profits
of capital. But these principles, although true
in their general sense, are yet so often modified
by the influence of others, that it becomes necessary
to examine a little into the disturbing forces.
182. With respect to the first
of these propositions, it may be observed, that the
cost of any article to the purchaser includes, besides
the ratio of the supply to the demand, another element,
which, though often of little importance, is, in many
cases, of great consequence. The cost, to the
purchaser, is the price he pays for any article, added
to the cost of verifying the fact of its having that
degree of goodness for which he contracts. In
some cases the goodness of the article is evident
on mere inspection: and in those cases there is
not much difference of price at different shops.
The goodness of loaf sugar, for instance, can be discerned
almost at a glance; and the consequence is, that the
price is so uniform, and the profit upon it so small,
that no grocer is at all anxious to sell it; whilst,
on the other hand, tea, of which it is exceedingly
difficult to judge, and which can be adulterated by
mixture so as to deceive the skill even of a practised
eye, has a great variety of different prices, and
is that article which every grocer is most anxious
to sell to his customers.
The difficulty and expense of verification
are, in some instances, so great, as to justify the
deviation from well-established principles. Thus
it is a general maxim that Government can purchase
any article at a cheaper rate than that at which they
can manufacture it themselves. But it has nevertheless
been considered more economical to build extensive
flour-mills (such are those at Deptford), and to grind
their own corn, than to verify each sack of purchased
flour, and to employ persons in devising methods of
detecting the new modes of adulteration which might
be continually resorted to.
183. Some years since, a mode
of preparing old clover and trefoil seeds by a process
called doctoring, became so prevalent as to excite
the attention of the House of Commons. It appeared
in evidence before a committee, that the old seed of
the white clover was doctored by first wetting it
slightly, and then drying it with the fumes of burning
sulphur, and that the red clover seed had its colour
improved by shaking it in a sack with a small quantity
of indigo; but this being detected after a time, the
doctors then used a preparation of logwood, fined by
a little copperas, and sometimes by verdigris; thus
at once improving the appearance of the old seed,
and diminishing, if not destroying, its vegetative
power already enfeebled by age. Supposing no
injury had resulted to good seed so prepared, it was
proved that from the improved appearance, the market
price would be enhanced by this process from five
to twenty-five shillings a hundred weight. But
the greatest evil arose from the circumstance of these
processes rendering old and worthless seed equal in
appearance to the best. One witness had tried
some doctored seed, and found that not above one grain
in a hundred grew, and that those which did vegetate
died away afterwards; whilst about eighty or ninety
per cent of good seed usually grows. The seed
so treated was sold to retail dealers in the country,
who of course endeavoured to purchase at the cheapest
rate, and from them it got into the hands of the farmers;
neither of these classes being capable of distinguishing
the fraudulent from the genuine seed. Many cultivators,
in consequence, diminished their consumption of the
article; and others were obliged to pay a higher price
to those who had skill to distinguish the mixed seed,
and who had integrity and character to prevent them
from dealing in it.
184. In the Irish flax trade,
a similar example of the high price paid for verification
occurs. It is stated in the report of the committee,
“That the natural excellent quality of Irish
flax, as contrasted with foreign or British, has been
admitted.” Yet from the evidence before
that committee it appears that Irish flax sells, in
the market, from 1d. to 2d. per pound less than other
flax of equal or inferior quality. Part of this
difference of price arises from negligence in its
preparation, but a part also from the expense of ascertaining
that each parcel is free from useless matter to add
to its weight: this appears from the evidence
of Mr J. Corry, who was, during twenty-seven years,
Secretary to the Irish Linen-Board:—
“The owners of the flax, who
are almost always people in the lower classes of life,
believe that they can best advance their own interests
by imposing on the buyers. Flax being sold by
weight, various expedients are used to increase it;
and every expedient is injurious, particularly the
damping of it; a very common practice, which makes
the flax afterwards heat. The inside of every
bundle (and the bundles all vary in bulk) is often
full of pebbles, or dirt of various kinds, to increase
the weight. In this state it is purchased, and
exported to Great Britain. The natural quality
of Irish flax is admitted to be not inferior to that
produced by any foreign country; and yet the flax of
every foreign country, imported into Great Britain,
obtains a preference amongst the purchasers, because
the foreign flax is brought to the British market
in a cleaner and more regular state. The extent
and value of the sales of foreign flax in Great Britain
can be seen by reference to the public accounts; and
I am induced to believe, that Ireland, by an adequate
extension of her flax tillage, and having her flax
markets brought under good regulations, could, without
encroaching in the least degree upon the quantity
necessary for her home consumption, supply the whole
of the demand of the British market, to the exclusion
of the foreigners.”
185. The lace trade affords other
examples; and, in enquiring into the complaints made
to the House of Commons by the framework knitters,
the committee observe, that, “It is singular
that the grievance most complained of one hundred
and fifty years ago, should, in the present improved
state of the trade, be the same grievance which is
now most complained of: for it appears, by the
evidence given before your committee, that all the
witnesses attribute the decay of the trade more to
the making of fraudulent and bad articles, than to
the war, or to any other cause.” And it
is shewn by the evidence, that a kind of lace called
“single-press” was manufactured, which,
although good to the eye, became nearly spoiled in
washing by the slipping of the threads; that not one
person in a thousand could distinguish the difference
between “single-press” and “double-press”
lace; and that, even workmen and manufacturers were
obliged to employ a magnifying glass for that purpose;
and that, in another similar article, called “warp
lace,” such aid was essential. It was also
stated by one witness, that
“The trade had not yet ceased,
excepting in those places where the fraud had been
discovered; and from those places no orders are now
sent for any sort of Nottingham lace, the credit being
totally ruined.”
186. In the stocking trade similar
frauds have been practised. It appeared in evidence,
that stockings were made of uniform width from the
knee down to the ankle, and being wetted and stretched
on frames at the calf, they retained their shape when
dry, but that the purchaser could not discover the
fraud until, after the first washing, the stockings
hung like bags about his ankles.
187. In the watch trade the practice
of deceit, in forging the marks and names of respectable
makers, has been carried to a great extent both by
natives and foreigners; and the effect upon our export
trade has been most injurious, as the following extract
from the evidence before a committee of the House of
Commons will prove:—
“Question. How long have
you been in the trade? Answer. Nearly thirty
years. Question. The trade is at present
much depressed? Answer. Yes, sadly.
Question. What is your opinion of the cause of
that distress? Answer. I think it is owing
to a number of watches that have been made so exceedingly
bad that they will hardly look at them in the foreign
markets; all with a handsome outside show, and the
works hardly fit for anything. Question.
Do you mean to say, that all the watches made in this
country are of that description? Answer.
No; only a number which are made up by some of the
Jews, and other low manufacturers. I recollect
something of the sort years ago, of a falloff of the
East India work, owing to there being a number of
handsome-looking watches sent out, for instance, with
hands on and figures, as if they shewed seconds, and
had not any work regular to shew the seconds:
the hand went round, but it was not regular.
Question. They had no perfect movements?
Answer. No, they had not; that was a long time
since, and we had not any East India work for a long
time afterwards.”
In the home market, inferior but showy
watches are made at a cheap rate, which are not warranted
by the maker to go above half an hour; about the time
occupied by the Jew pedlar in deluding his country
customer.
188. The practice, in retail
linen-drapers’ shops, of calling certain articles
yard wide when the real width is perhaps, only seven-eighths
or three-quarters, arose at first from fraud, which
being detected, custom was pleaded in its defence:
but the result is, that the vender is constantly obliged
to measure the width of his goods in the customer’s
presence. In all these instances the object of
the seller is to get a higher price than his goods
would really produce if their quality were known; and
the purchaser, if not himself a skilful judge (which
rarely happens to be the case), must pay some person,
in the shape of an additional money price, who has
skill to distinguish, and integrity to furnish, articles
of the quality agreed on. But as the confidence
of persons in their own judgement is usually great,
large numbers will always flock to the cheap dealer,
who thus, attracting many customers from the honest
tradesman, obliges him to charge a higher price for
his judgement and character than, without such competition,
he could afford to do.
189. There are few things which
the public are less able to judge of than the quality
of drugs; and when these are compounded into medicines
it is scarcely possible, even for medical men, to
decide whether pure or adulterated ingredients have
been employed. This circumstance, concurring
with the present injudicious mode of paying for medical
assistance, has produced a curious effect on the price
of medicines. Apothecaries, instead of being
paid for their services and skill, are remunerated
by being allowed to place a high charge upon their
medicines, which are confessedly of very small pecuniary
value. The effect of such a system is an inducement
to prescribe more medicine than is necessary; and
in fact, even with the present charges, the apothecary,
in ninety-nine cases out of a hundred, cannot be fairly
remunerated unless the patient either takes, or pays
for, more physic than he really requires. The
apparent extravagance of the charge of eighteen pence
for a two-ounce phial(1) of medicine, is obvious
to many who do not reflect on the fact that a great
part of the charge is, in reality, payment for the
exercise of professional skill. As the same charge
is made by the apothecary, whether he attends the
patient or merely prepares the prescription of a physician,
the chemist and druggist soon offered to furnish the
same commodity at a greatly diminished price.
But the eighteen pence charged by the apothecary might
have been fairly divided into two parts, three pence
for medicine and bottle, and fifteen pence for attendance.
The chemist, therefore, who never attends his customers,
if he charges only a shilling for the same medicine,
realizes a profit of 200 or 300 per cent upon its
value. This enormous profit has called into existence
a multitude of competitors; and in this instance the
impossibility of verifying has, in a great measure,
counteracted the beneficial effects of competition.
The general adulteration of drugs, even at the extremely
high price at which they are retailed as medicine,
enables those who are supposed to sell them in an
unadulterated state to make large profits, whilst the
same evil frequently disappoints the expectation,
and defeats the skill, of the most eminent physician.
It is difficult to point out a remedy
for this evil without suggesting an almost total change
in the system of medical practice. If the apothecary
were to charge for his visits, and to reduce his medicines
to one-fourth or one-fifth of their present price,
he would still have an interest in procuring the best
drugs, for the sake of his own reputation or skill.
Or if the medical attendant, who is paid more highly
for his time, were to have several pupils, he might
himself supply the medicines without a specific charge,
and his pupils would derive improvement from compounding
them, as well as from examining the purity of the
drugs he would purchase. The public would gain
several advantages by this arrangement. In the
first place, it would be greatly for the interest
of the medical practitioner to have the best drugs;
it would be in his interest also not to give more
physic than needful; and it would enable him, through
some of his more advanced pupils, to watch more frequently
the changes of any malady.
190. There are many articles
of hardware which it is impossible for the purchaser
to verify at the time of purchase, or even afterwards,
without defacing them. Plated harness and coach
furniture may be adduced as examples: these are
usually of wrought iron covered with silver, owing
their strength to the one and a certain degree of
permanent beauty to the other metal. Both qualities
are, occasionally, much impaired by substituting cast-for
wrought-iron, and by plating with soft solder (tin
and lead) instead of with hard solder (silver and
brass). The loss of strength is the greatest
evil in this case; for cast iron, though made for
this purpose more tough than usual by careful annealing,
is still much weaker than wrought-iron, and serious
accidents often arise from harness giving way.
In plating with soft solder, a very thin plate of
silver is made to cover the iron, but it is easily
detached, particularly by a low degree of heat.
Hard soldering gives a better coat of silver, which
is very firmly attached, and is not easily injured
unless by a very high degree of heat. The inferior
can be made to look nearly as well as the better article,
and the purchaser can scarcely discover the difference
without cutting into it.
191. The principle that price,
at any moment, is dependent on the relation of the
supply to the demand, is true to the full extent only
when the whole supply is in the hands of a very large
number of small holders, and the demand is caused by
the wants of another set of persons, each of whom
requires only a very small quantity. And the
reason appears to be, that it is only in such circumstances
that a uniform average can be struck between the feelings,
the passions, the prejudices, the opinions, and the
knowledge, of both parties. If the supply, or
present stock in hand, be entirely in the possession
of one person, he will naturally endeavour to put
such a price upon it as shall produce by its sale
the greatest quantity of money; but he will be guided
in this estimate of the price at which he will sell,
both by the knowledge that increased price will cause
a diminished consumption, and by the desire to realize
his profit before a new supply shall reach the market
from some other quarter. If, however, the same
stock is in the hands of several dealers, there will
be an immediate competition between them, arising partly
from their different views of the duration of the present
state of supply, and partly from their own peculiar
circumstances with respect to the employment of their
capital.
192. The expense of ascertaining
that the price charged is that which is legally due
is sometimes considerable. The inconvenience
which this verification produces in the case of parcels
sent by coaches is very great. The time lost in
recovering an overcharge generally amounts to so many
times the value of the sum recovered, that it is but
rarely resorted to. It seems worthy of consideration
whether it would not be a convenience to the public
if government were to undertake the general conveyance
of parcels somewhat on the same system with that on
which the post is now conducted. The certainty
of their delivery, and the absence of all attempt
at overcharge, would render the prohibition of rival
carriers unnecessary. Perhaps an experiment might
be made on this subject by enlarging the weight allowed
to be sent by the two-penny post, and by conveying
works in sheets by the general post.
This latter suggestion would be of
great importance to literature, and consequently to
the circulation of knowledge. As the post-office
regulations stand at present, it constantly happens
that persons who have an extensive reputation for
science, receive by post, from foreign countries, works,
or parts of works, for which they are obliged to pay
a most extravagant rate of postage, or else refuse
to take in some interesting communication. In
France and Germany, printed sheets of paper are forwarded
by post at a very moderate expense, and it is fit that
the science and literature of England should be equally
favoured.
193. It is important, if possible,
always to connect the name of the workman with the
work he has executed: this secures for him the
credit or the blame he may justly deserve; and diminishes,
in some cases, the necessity of verification.
The extent to which this is carried in literary works,
published in America, is remarkable. In the translation
of the Mecanique Celeste by Mr Bowditch, not merely
the name of the printer, but also those of the compositors,
are mentioned in the work.
194. Again, if the commodity
itself is of a perishable nature, such, for example,
as a cargo of ice imported into the port of London
from Norway a few summers since, then time will supply
the place of competition; and, whether the article
is in the possession of one or of many persons, it
will scarcely reach a monopoly price. The history
of cajeput oil during the last few months, offers
a curious illustration of the effect of opinion upon
price. In July of last year, 1831, cajeput oil
was sold, exclusive of duty, at 7 d. per ounce.
The disease which had ravaged the East was then supposed
to be approaching our shores, and its proximity created
alarm. At this period, the oil in question began
to be much talked of, as a powerful remedy in that
dreadful disorder; and in September it rose to the
price of 3s. and 4s. the ounce. In October there
were few or no sales: but in the early part of
November, the speculations in this substance reached
their height, and between the 1st and the 15th it
realized the following prices: 3s. 9d., 5s., 6s.
6d., 7s. 6d., 8s., 9s., 10s., 10s. 6d., 11s.
After 15 November, the holders of cajeput oil were
anxious to sell at much lower rates; and in December
a fresh arrival was offered by public sale at 5s.,
and withdrawn, being sold afterwards, as it was understood,
by private contract, at 4s. or 4s. 6d. per oz.
Since that time, 1s. 6d. and 1s. have been realized;
and a fresh arrival, which is daily expected (March,
1832) will probably reduce it below the price of July.
Now it is important to notice, that in November, the
time of greatest speculation, the quantity in the market
was held by few persons, and that it frequently changed
hands, each holder being desirous to realize his profit.
The quantity imported since that time has also been
considerable.(2)
195. The effect of the equalization
of price by an increased number of dealers, may be
observed in the price of the various securities sold
at the Stock Exchange. The number of persons who
deal in the 3 per cent stock being large, any one desirous
of selling can always dispose of his stock at one-eighth
per cent under the market price; but those who wish
to dispose of bank stock, or of any other securities
of more limited circulation, are obliged to make a
sacrifice of eight or ten times this amount upon each
hundred pounds value.
196. The frequent speculations
in oil, tallow, and other commodities, which must
occur to the memory of most of my readers, were always
founded on the principle of purchasing up all the
stock on hand, and agreeing for the purchase of the
expected arrivals; thus proving the opinion of capitalists
to be, that a larger average price may be procured
by the stock being held by few persons.
Notes:
1. Apothecaries frequently purchase
these phials at the old bottle warehouses at ten shillings
per gross; so that when their servant has washed them,
the cost of the phial is nearly one penny.
2. I have understood that the
price of camphor, at the same time, suffered similar
changes.